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Old 03-25-2020, 09:17 PM
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Default Mixing Species, or Let's create a novel pathogen!

Originally Posted by Xue View Post
I don't think the hobby needs to worry about that. People have been in contact with animals for as long as the two have been together and whatever will naturally occur has and will.

In the US we have 20 open trades per year (just throwing out a number) with vendors selling animals from the same original breeding sources.

The worlds wild caught animal markets (for eating or local pet trade) have been an ongoing event every day for hundreds or thousands of years.

I think the likeliness that we unleash a killer virus from our tanks is low to none.

I also keep fish and birds. Lots more sources and mixed wild caught specimens in those than frogs.

Even if likelihood is .001%(non-zero probability)of total ruin(whether for humans(as we see with SARS) or for our frogs(chytrid as pumilo stated may have started from us) given enough time it WILL lead to ruin. See Nassim Talebís non-zero probability risk resulting in ruin.

Two domains linear and nonlinear, this is in the nonlinear domain and human intuition is particular poor in assessing risk in this domain.

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Last edited by Organics; 03-25-2020 at 09:28 PM.
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